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RBI’s Status Quo Snooze: Cheaper Groceries, But No Relief for Your Wallet Yet

Posted on 3 October 20253 October 2025 by Zachariah Syriac

In a move as predictable as Mumbai’s monsoon traffic, the RBI’s Monetary Policy Committee yesterday opted for a grand pause—keeping the repo rate steady at 5.5 per cent and the stance ‘neutral’. No fireworks, no rate cuts, just a polite nod to the global jitters like those pesky US tariffs doubling to 50 per cent. Governor Sanjay Malhotra & Co. are playing it safe, eyes glued to incoming data, while inflation cools to a six-year low of 2.07 per cent in August.

Fair enough, but for the aam aadmi sweating over EMIs and grocery bills, what’s the real takeaway? Precious little in the short run, but a glimmer of hope peeking through the haze.Let’s cut the jargon: no rate cut means your home loan or car EMI won’t budge an inch. Banks, those reluctant lenders, will keep charging a king’s ransom on borrowings—think 8-9 per cent on floating rates that feel anything but floaty. The middle-class uncle juggling a Rs 50 lakh flat loan?

He’s stuck paying the same hefty instalments, with no breathing room from the central bank. And forget cheaper credit for that small biz dream; private investment’s still dragging its feet, as RBI admits. It’s like the MPC is whispering, “Patience, bhai, good things come to those who wait… maybe next quarter.”But hold your horses—there’s silver lining in the structural tweaks. The big win? RBI slashed FY26 inflation forecast to a comfy 2.6 per cent, crediting GST rationalisation that’s trimmed taxes on everyday essentials like soaps, detergents, and packed atta.

Your weekly sabzi run or Diwali shopping spree just got a tad lighter on the pocket. Add to that upbeat growth projections—Q1 GDP at a robust 7.8 per cent, FY26 bumped up to 6.8 per cent

—and you’ve got tailwinds for jobs and wage hikes down the line. If inflation stays this tame, future rate cuts could finally unlock easier loans and boost that stagnant consumption.RBI’s 22 banking reforms sound fancy—easing capital rules, risk-based insurance, beefed-up grievance redressal via Internal Ombudsmen

—promising smoother credit flow and fewer headaches with dodgy banks. For the common man, that translates to potentially lower hidden fees on your savings account or quicker fixes for UPI glitches. But let’s be blunt: these are back-end fixes, not front-page relief. While corporates cheer the infra financing perks, the average Joe waits for the trickle-down magic that rarely arrives on time.Verdict? Yesterday’s policy is a cautious high-five to stability over splashy stimulus—smart in a world of tariff wars and volatile crude, but underwhelming for the daily grind. RBI’s betting on low inflation to pave the way for bolder moves ahead, opening “space for further supporting growth.”

Aam aadmi, take heart: cheaper dal and roti today might just buy you that rate cut tomorrow. Until then, keep the chai brewing and the optimism alive. After all, in India’s economy, hope is the ultimate repo rate.

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